Top all-time · #7439
Above The Fold
Company blog · news.manifold.marketseconomicsstartups
Above The Fold is the company blog at news.manifold.markets, writing about economics and startups. Since 2022, 11 different Hacker News readers have linked it 15 times, most often “Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets”. It is still writing: the last post was on 2026-11-02, and you can follow it by feed.
Too few sampled comments (1) to say how often HN recommends it.?
Why HN links it
Linked by one commenter for its explanation of the market mechanism behind Manifold's HN prediction-market game, which they say pretty much invented a novel AMM. Pointed to HN users betting on predictions.
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 1 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
The best of what's new at Manifold Markets.
Most-linked posts?
- Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2023-05-05
- Applying predication markets to help people find love2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2023-11-09
What Hacker News says?
You lot discussing this would get a kick out of: https://news.manifold.markets/p/above-the-fold-market-mechan... I wish I could post a link, but in their Discord they had some really interesting chats and I think they pretty much invented a novel AMM for this. They are open source, so you can take a look here: https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold I forget whereabouts in that repo the algorithm is though but h…
Comment linking /p/above-the-fold-market-mechanics
on “Show HN: Have fun betting virtual (not real) money on predictions from HN users”Submitted Biden's paths forward, according to Manifold as a story · 4 points
HN discussionSubmitted Manifest: Startup Pitch Competition, Night Market, & Career Fair as a story · 3 points
HN discussionSubmitted Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets as a story · 3 points
HN discussionSubmitted I bet against a space launch as I cheered it on as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted Seven lessons I didn't learn from election day as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted Betting on the Millennium Problems as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Peak TIME POTY Drama as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Claude Plays Pokémon as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Dev Insights – Creator Partner Program as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Manifold: Cash Prizes for Good Predictions as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Manifold Love – Retrospective: What we learnt from creating a wild dating app as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Applying predication markets to help people find love as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Presenting Manifold Love – Our new dating site as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Whales vs. Minnows and Pitfalls of Prediction Markets as a story · 1 points
HN discussion
