Top all-time · #13351
Annie Duke
Personal blog · annieduke.combusinessscience
Annie Duke's personal blog at annieduke.com covers business and science. Since 2018, 6 different Hacker News readers have linked it 10 times, most often “No, judges don't give harsher sentences when they are hungry”. It is still writing: the last post was on 2026-10-12, and you can follow it by feed.
Too few sampled comments (4) to say how often HN recommends it.?
Why HN links it
HN readers link Annie Duke's posts on decision-making and cognitive biases, which cite psychology research such as the illusion of explanatory depth. Comments mostly cite or correct those studies rather than praise the writing.
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 4 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
Annie Duke is an author and experienced corporate speaker and consultant on the behavior of decision making. In 2018, Annie’s first book for general audiences, “Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts” was released by Portfolio, an imprint of Penguin Random House
Most-linked posts?
- /2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2022-09-07
- No, judges don't give harsher sentences when they are hungry2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2021-10-04
What Hacker News says?
> Judges that decide over parole won't attribute their decision on the last time they ate, even if it is the single most important factor to their decision. This finding doesn't replicate[0]. In the original study, there was a more mundane explanation: "Defendants without representation have their hearings scheduled at the end of sessions, before breaks." You have much more confidence in the current research than I…
Comment linking /no-judges-dont-give-harsher-sentences-hungry-annies-newsletter-october-5-2018/
on “Why obsessively following successful people online is dangerous”Submitted No, judges don't give harsher sentences when they are hungry as a story · 2 points
HN discussionWhile not directly about playing poker, these books are poker-based life lessons written by a top poker player. "Thinking in Bets" and "Quit" by Annie Duke https://www.annieduke.com/books/ I do own "How to Decided" but haven't read it yet. I will say that "Bets" and "Quit" are both easy reads and are high on value and low on noise. That is, even if you have play poker you'll get something out of both.
Comment linking /books/
on “An introduction to the theory and practice of poker (2020)”I think he fails to mention the key step: Have a product the market wants or needs, that's worthy of Google SERP page 1 attention. That is, in this case, his product was just special - though certainly not unique - enough (in the sense I presume there are plenty of alternatives) to get to page 1. Then catch a couple of lucky* breaks. That is, lucky in the "Thinking in Bets" (by Annie Duke) sense. To some extent, whe…
Comment linking /thinking-in-bets/
on “Show HN: I grew my startup to 100.000 visitors /m with no time for marketing”I'm unsure. I found it linked from an earlier discussion ( https://www.annieduke.com/amazon-prime-day-cash-crash-annies... ) where the intent was to share the actual study, but I don't know the chain of custody. Here's a direct SciHub link in case others find it preferable: http://sci-hub.tw/10.1007/s12108-018-9381-5
Comment linking /amazon-prime-day-cash-crash-annies-newsletter-august-6-2018/
on “Sociology’s Sacred Victims and the Politics of Knowledge”Too often symptoms get confused with problems. Symptoms are also not The Problem. But act, they do. In the end, it's more or less a riff on the Monkey & Pedestal syndrome (?). https://www.annieduke.com/newsletter-monkeys-and-pedestals-f...
Comment linking /newsletter-monkeys-and-pedestals-find-the-bottleneck-and-solve-for-that-first/
on “How to Solve Your Big Problems, by Solving Your *Real* Problem”Also see; Wikipedia on Illusion of explanatory depth - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusion_of_explanatory_depth The misunderstood limits of folk science: an illusion of explanatory depth - https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3062901/ How you can learn in a world of information overload - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cbiyPOn-__M The structure and function of explanations - https://cognition.princeton.edu/p…
Comment linking /the-science-of-a-good-explanation-with-tania-lombrozo/
on “The Illusion of Explanatory Depth”In terms of quitting and/or level of confidence in decision making, I'd recommend Annie Duke's "Thinking in Bets" and "Quit". Coincidentally (?), Duke's "Quit" discusses the importance of having a "board of directors" you can go to get objective and critical feedback from. Often, this could be peers / team, but in a work setting - which we often have little control - the quality is going to depend on culture. Truth…
Comment linking /books/
on “Sam Altman's Blog on Productivity”Mind you, your bar might be too high for these, but I found useful bits from both of the Michael Easter books: "The Comfort Crisis" and "Scarcity Brain." https://eastermichael.com/ Along the same lines, the two Annie Duke books that I read, "Thinking in Bets" and "Quit", were both entertaining and insightful. https://www.annieduke.com/ And tho' I thought it could have half the pages, I found inspriation from Rick Ru…
Comment linking /
on “Ask HN: What book(s) changed your routine(s) in 2023?”Her name is "Annie Duke", not "Annie Durke" https://www.annieduke.com/
Comment linking /
on “Notes on How to Decide by Annie Durke”