Top all-time · #16299
Christopher Peters
Personal blog · statwonk.comdataaicareer
Christopher Peters writes Statwonk, a personal blog at statwonk.com about data, ai and career. Since 2015, 4 different Hacker News readers have linked it 32 times, most often “Beyond Hypothesis Tests and P-Values: Model Iteration in Science and Business”. It has a working feed you can follow.
Too few sampled comments (1) to say how often HN recommends it.?
Why HN links it
HN readers link this blog for its Boeing passenger jet sales data. One commenter defends the data as imperfect but the only data available, and says critics of it are unfair.
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 1 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
Hands-on data science, AI, and technical leadership from Christopher Peters. Marketing mix modeling for Single Grain, leadership at RIZZARR, and experience as Principal Data Scientist at Zapier.
Most-linked posts?
- Beyond Hypothesis Tests and P-Values: Model Iteration in Science and Business2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2023-10-01
- Probability of shared birthdays in a group2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2015-08-27
What Hacker News says?
Exactly, it’s a smuggled assumption. A standard deviation is the second moment of a normal distribution. A negative binomial is a much better model for count data: https://statwonk.com/poisson-gamma-negative-binomial.html
Comment linking /poisson-gamma-negative-binomial.html
on “Simple Anomaly Detection Using Plain SQL”Submitted What's Y Combinator's conversion rate? as a story · 148 points
HN discussionIt's for this reason that I like publishing straight to my blog: http://statwonk.com/weibull.html Let the code / math do the work. I intentionally make it easy to pick up, modify and inspect. The benefit to me is precisely being alerted if it isn't replicable.
Comment linking /weibull.html
on “Psychology’s Replication Crisis Is Real”Submitted Negative binomial / binomial experiments: frequentist or Bayesian? as a story · 46 points
HN discussionIt's possible to host a Shiny app yourself. This one runs on AWS EC2 inside a docker container: http://www.statwonk.com/birthday-problem/
Comment linking /birthday-problem/
on “Interactive NBA Shot Charts with R and Shiny”Submitted U.S. pay gap by sex by occupation as a story · 44 points
HN discussionI'm not trying to lie and I'm aware my data isn't perfect, but I'm the only one providing any data at all so far. I have repeatedly asked for better data and been denied. I can only analyze the data I have, imperfect though it may be. When someone is consistently asking for better data, criticizing that person's data is kinda dumb. > Does Malaysia Airlines having one airplane shot down by the Russians, and another s…
Comment linking /are-boeing-planes-more-dangerous-than-airbus-planes.html
on “Boeing sold just three passenger jets in the past month”Submitted Breaking down a Ford recall with stats as a story · 16 points
HN discussionI used AI to unpack it a bit here: https://statwonk.com/econometricians-can-build-decision-engi... I'd generally point to econometrics and statistics applied to business. The key activity is causal inference and then the context determines the mix of econo vs. stats required to help the org make high-quality decisions to increase output or make it more lucrative or higher-quality.
Comment linking /econometricians-can-build-decision-engines.html
on “Nobody ever gets credit for fixing problems that never happened (2002) [pdf]”Submitted Show HN: FDA Drug Reactions as a story · 15 points
HN discussionLocation: Brighton, MI, USA Remote: Yes Willing to relocate: Yes Technologies: Bayesian statistics, econometrics, causal inference, experimental design, machine learning, AI systems, R (expert), Python (expert), SQL (expert), Stan/brms, PyMC, scikit-learn, tidyverse, PostgreSQL/Redshift, AWS, Airflow, Ansible, Terraform Résumé/CV: https://statwonk.com/about/
Comment linking /about/
on “Ask HN: Who wants to be hired? (April 2026)”Submitted Are ClinicalTrials.gov p-values clustered around .05? as a story · 14 points
HN discussionSubmitted U.S. natural gas pipeline incidents are less common as a story · 3 points
HN discussionSubmitted Stackoverflow tags most used with [r] and [python] as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted Stackoverflow tags complementary to [r] and [python] as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted Estimating the Apache Incubator's graduation rate as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted Modeling subscription churn as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted Show HN: Prompt Enricher – paste a rough prompt, get a structured one back as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted How Long Do Major Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Last? as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Beyond Hypothesis Tests & P-Values: Iterative Refinement in Science and Business as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Beyond Hypothesis Tests and P-Values: Model Iteration in Science and Business as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted What happens if we peek at experiments? as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Estimating the chance of Supreme Court turnover, how likely? as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted The benefit of introducing prior information in binomial experiments as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Bernoulli experiments in stan as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Generating zero-inflated negative binomial random numbers as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted A Parable on Customer-Base Analysis as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted How to model SaaS churn for experiments as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted R's library function as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted Probability of shared birthdays in a group as a story · 1 points
HN discussion