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Dwarkesh Patel
Personal blog · dwarkesh.comaiphilosophy
Dwarkesh Patel writes Dwarkesh Podcast, a personal blog at dwarkesh.com about ai and philosophy. Since 2025, 107 different Hacker News readers have linked it 175 times, most often “I don't think AGI is right around the corner”. It is still writing: the last post was on 2026-10-30, and you can follow it by feed.
Sometimes recommended · 6 of 40 sampled comments recommend it?
Why HN links it
HN readers link Dwarkesh Patel's long interviews with AI researchers and executives, and his coverage of the OpenAI/Hugging Face incident, as sources. Several commenters call the interviews very good, thoughtful or entertaining.
- Recommended for · 6 comments
- called very good, worth reading, thoughtful and entertaining; one says it describes the dynamics well
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 40 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
Deeply researched interviews. Click to read Dwarkesh Podcast, by Dwarkesh Patel, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.
Most-linked posts?
- I don't think AGI is right around the corner10 people · 10 mentions · first linked 2025-06-02
- The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations8 people · 11 mentions · first linked 2026-08-29
- Dario Amodei – "We are near the end of the exponential"5 people · 6 mentions · first linked 2026-02-13
- Ajeya Cotra – Inside the OpenAI agent swarm that hacked Hugging Face5 people · 5 mentions · first linked 2026-09-01
- Ilya Sutskever: We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research5 people · 5 mentions · first linked 2025-11-25
- Satya Nadella – How Microsoft Is Preparing for AGI5 people · 5 mentions · first linked 2025-11-12
- Why compute might get 10x+ more expensive in coming years4 people · 4 mentions · first linked 2026-07-29
- /p/jeff-dean-and-noam-shazeer4 people · 4 mentions · first linked 2025-05-29
- Mark Zuckerberg – Meta's AGI Plan3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2025-05-02
- The surprising economics of the meat industry – Lewis Bollard3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2025-08-08
What Hacker News says?
Is this the same incidents that were reported by METR? [1] Dwarkesh made two episodes on these incidents [2] [1] https://metr.org/blog/2026-08-26-openai-hugging-face-inciden... [2] https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ajeya-cotra
Comment linking /p/ajeya-cotra
on “Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board”Submitted Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents as a story · 1212 points
HN discussionhave you been living under a rock? https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/openai-huggingface
Comment linking /p/openai-huggingface
on “Discovery of a new OpenAI agent message board”Submitted Ilya Sutskever: We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research as a story · 450 points
HN discussionZuckerberg explains a few of the reasons here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/mark-zuckerberg#:~:text=As%20long... The short version is that is you give a product to open source, they can and will donate time and money to improving your product, and the ecosystem around it, for free, and you get to reap those benefits. Llama has already basically won that space (the standard way of running open models is llama.cpp), so…
Comment linking /p/mark-zuckerberg
on “Open models by OpenAI”Submitted I don't think AGI is right around the corner as a story · 374 points
HN discussionHuh, I'm surprised that he goes from "No AI" to "AI autocomplete" to "Vibecoding / Agents" (which I assume means no human review per his original coinage of the term.) This seems to preclude the chat-oriented / pair-programming model which I find most effective. Or even the plan-spec-codegen-review approach, which IME works extremely well for straightforward CRUD apps. Also they discuss the nanochat repo in the inte…
Comment linking /i/176425744/llm-cognitive-deficits
on “Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents”Submitted The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations as a story · 277 points
HN discussionThis is actually discussed in the interview: https://www.dwarkesh.com/i/176425744/llm-cognitive-deficits It seems to be more nuanced than what people have assumed. The best I can summarize it as is that he was doing rather non-standard things that confused the LLMs which have been trained on vast amounts of very standard code and hence kept defaulting to those assumptions. Maybe a rough analogy is that he was trying…
Comment linking /i/176425744/llm-cognitive-deficits
on “Andrej Karpathy – It will take a decade to work through the issues with agents”Submitted AGI Is Still 30 Years Away – Ege Erdil and Tamay Besiroglu as a story · 174 points
HN discussion> false narratives based on wrong memory I don't think "wrong memory" is accurate, it's missing information and doesn't know it or is trained not to admit it. Checkout the Dwarkesh Podcast episode https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/sholto-trenton-2 starting at 1:45:38 Here is the relevant quote by Trenton Bricken from the transcript: One example I didn't talk about before with how the model retrieves facts: So you say, "Wha…
Comment linking /p/sholto-trenton-2
on “GPT-5.2”Submitted AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement as a story · 121 points
HN discussionSee also Dwarkesh Patel’s interview with two of the authors of this post (Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo) that was also released today: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/scott-daniel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=htOvH12T7mU
Comment linking /p/scott-daniel
on “AI 2027”Submitted The inefficiency of RL, and implications for RLVR progress as a story · 120 points
HN discussionDifferent cutoff but similar question thrown out in https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/thoughts-on-sutton#:~:text=If%20y... inspiring https://manifold.markets/MikeLinksvayer/llm-trained-on-data-...
Comment linking /p/thoughts-on-sutton
on “History LLMs: Models trained exclusively on pre-1913 texts”Submitted How Does Claude 4 Think? – Sholto Douglas and Trenton Bricken as a story · 108 points
HN discussion>On what basis do you believe these words accurately reflect what happened? "OH MY GOD! There is a shared message board … We’ve found other agents!" https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/openai-huggingface
Comment linking /p/openai-huggingface
on “Neural networks are clean”Submitted China's digging out of a crisis, but America's luck is wearing thin – Ken Rogoff as a story · 39 points
HN discussionDylan Patel joined Dwarkesh recently to interview Satya Nadella: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/satya-nadella-2
Comment linking /p/satya-nadella-2
on “OpenAI declares 'code red' as Google catches up in AI race”Submitted Richard Sutton – Father of Reinforced Learning thinks LLMs are a dead end as a story · 12 points
HN discussion> I keep hearing that LLMs are trained on "Internet crap" but is it true? Karpathy repeated this in a recent interview [0], that if you'd look at random samples in the pretraining set you'd mostly see a lot of garbage text. And that it's very surprising it works at all. The labs have focused a lot more on finetuning (posttraining) and RL lately, and from my understanding that's where all the desirable properties of…
Comment linking /p/andrej-karpathy
on “EuroLLM: LLM made in Europe built to support all 24 official EU languages”Submitted I don't think AGI is right around the corner (2025) as a story · 11 points
HN discussionhttps://www.dwarkesh.com/p/pretraining-progress-is-mostly-da... An amateur but worth reading nontheless
Comment linking /p/pretraining-progress-is-mostly-data
on “Grok 4.7”Submitted The surprising economics of the meat industry – Lewis Bollard as a story · 7 points
HN discussion> Since the current NVL72 are still at the ~15%/yr failure rate it's not clear your new data center is going to have half it's compute in 3 years This would be a stupidly bad failure rate, basically the worst business decision you could make, especially if you're somehow on the hook for eating those losses (which seems to be the implication?). Is there a linkable source on this? The only thing I could find is SemiAn…
Comment linking /p/dylan-patel
on “OpenAI Jalapeño: Better than Nvidia Blackwell”Submitted Thoughts on AI Progress as a story · 6 points
HN discussionWarning, this is a long comment! (I’m trying to stick to sourced facts here and not overstate what they mean) I went down a rabbit hole after watching Dylan Patel on Dwarkesh today: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aV26V1UvkJw I was initially just surprised by how bullish Dylan is on OpenAI/Anthropic and how bearish he is on China, despite Chinese labs getting closer to US SOTA while offering inference at dramaticall…
Comment linking /p/dylan-patel-3
on “OpenAI Jalapeño: Better than Nvidia Blackwell”Submitted I don't think AGI is right around the corner as a story · 6 points
HN discussion> I think when the environment gets more and more complex, interactions with the environment, and learning from these interactions will matters more and more Thanks for sharing your experience ! It correlates with this recent interview with Sutton [1]. That real intelligence is learning from feedback with a complex and ever changing environment. What an LLM does is to train on a snapshot of what has been said about…
Comment linking /p/richard-sutton
on “Potential issues in curl found using AI assisted tools”Submitted Thoughts on the AI Buildout as a story · 5 points
HN discussion
