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forkingpaths.co

Personal blog · forkingpaths.coeconomicsscience

forkingpaths.co is a personal blog at forkingpaths.co about economics and science. Since 2023, 27 different Hacker News readers have linked it 44 times, most often “Billionaires and the Evolution of Overconfidence”. No feed was found, so read it on the site itself.

44mentions?
27HN people?
2023–2025first – last linked?
Links on Hacker News per year · peak 20 in 2024

Too few sampled comments (8) to say how often HN recommends it.?

Why HN links it

HN commenters link this blog for posts on billionaires, wealth taxes and the claimed millionaire exodus, and cite it in threads on Eric Schmidt, Charlie Kirk and Boeing. One commenter calls a related piece excellent.

Summarised by Claude from a sample of 8 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.

Most-linked posts?

  1. Billionaires and the Evolution of Overconfidence
    5 people · 7 mentions · first linked 2023-05-31
  2. The World of Undersea Cables
    3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2024-01-17
  3. The Death of the Student Essay–and the Future of Cognition
    3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2025-06-19
  4. The Big Gods Hypothesis
    2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2024-03-26
  5. The evolution of stupidity (and octopus intelligence)
    2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2024-04-23
  6. We are different from all other humans in history
    2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2025-10-10
  7. The crisis of zombie social science
    2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2025-06-13

What Hacker News says?

  1. https://www.forkingpaths.co/p/its-the-guns

    Comment linking /p/its-the-guns

    on “Charlie Kirk killed at event in Utah”
  2. Submitted The evolution of stupidity (and octopus intelligence) as a story · 53 points

    HN discussion
  3. If 90% of startups fail, why would you think winning wasn't mostly chance? Regardless of how many people work hard and grind, you can still fail (and most do, that's just life). Some are more lucky than others, and capital begets capital. Once you've "won" enough, it becomes much harder to lose, even if you make terrible forward decisions and run off the inertia of past wins (Twitter). Bezos built Amazon, but also h…

    Comment linking /p/billionaires-and-the-evolution-of

    on “Boeing workers vote to strike”
  4. Submitted Longitude and our neurons of navigation as a story · 25 points

    HN discussion
  5. hermitcrab · 2025-09-22Recommends
    Brian Klass wrote an excellent article on this topic. However it is behind a paywall: https://www.forkingpaths.co/p/does-taxing-the-rich-cause-mil... (I subscribe to his substack)

    Comment linking /p/does-taxing-the-rich-cause-millionaires

    on “UK Millionaire exodus did not occur, study reveals”
  6. Submitted The crisis of zombie social science as a story · 22 points

    HN discussion
  7. Would you count group hunting as “highly complex social behavior”? It’s not just a numbers thing, they communicate and coordinate with the group. https://www.npr.org/2024/09/23/nx-s1-5120912/octopuses-and-f... Octopuses also build colonies, using coconut shells and other tools. https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn18281-octopuses-use-c... https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-discover-... https://mash…

    Comment linking /p/the-evolution-of-stupidity-and-octopus

    on “The Silurian Hypothesis”
  8. Submitted Billionaires and the Evolution of Overconfidence as a story · 16 points

    HN discussion
  9. https://www.forkingpaths.co/p/billionaires-and-the-evolution...

    Comment linking /p/billionaires-and-the-evolution-of

    on “Eric Schmidt deleted Stanford interview”
  10. Submitted Does taxing the rich cause millionaires to flee? as a story · 13 points

    HN discussion
  11. Forget the quality of the data, you can give the same data to different researchers and get wildly different conclusions. [1, from 2, from 3] (Disclaimer: not my area of expertise.) [1] N. Breznau et al., “Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty,” PNAS, October 2022, URL: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2203150119 [2] B. Klaas, “The Crisis of Zombi…

    Comment linking /p/the-crisis-of-zombie-social-science

    on “Object personification in autism: This paper will be sad if you don't read (2018)”
  12. Submitted The "Need for Chaos" Voter as a story · 12 points

    HN discussion
  13. Lucky old retired executive shares opinion and makes excuses for poor management without evidence in the pursuit of relevance. https://www.forkingpaths.co/p/billionaires-and-the-evolution...

    Comment linking /p/billionaires-and-the-evolution-of

    on “Former Google CEO blames remote work for company's struggles”
  14. Submitted The "Need for Chaos" Voter as a story · 12 points

    HN discussion
  15. Millionaire flight is mostly myth: https://www.forkingpaths.co/p/does-taxing-the-rich-cause-mil... And, like 'trickle-down economics', a very convenient myth for the rich.

    Comment linking /p/does-taxing-the-rich-cause-millionaires

    on “Wealth tax would be deadly for French economy, says Europe's richest man”
  16. Submitted Doge and the Coming Tsunami as a story · 9 points

    HN discussion
  17. Submitted Billionaires and the Evolution of Overconfidence as a story · 8 points

    HN discussion
  18. Submitted Jerome Powell and the Authoritarian Sirens of Odysseus as a story · 5 points

    HN discussion
  19. Submitted The Death of the Student Essay–and the Future of Cognition as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  20. Submitted We Don't Have to Destroy Ourselves as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  21. Submitted How Tyrants Fall as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  22. Submitted The Perils of Moneyballing Everything as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  23. Submitted Prigozhin is dead. But Putin is now weaker as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  24. Submitted We are different from all other humans in history as a story · 3 points

    HN discussion
  25. Submitted We Are Different from All Other Humans in History as a story · 3 points

    HN discussion
  26. Submitted The Death of the Student Essay–and the Future of Cognition as a story · 3 points

    HN discussion
  27. Submitted The Big Gods Hypothesis as a story · 3 points

    HN discussion
  28. Submitted The World of Undersea Cables as a story · 3 points

    HN discussion
  29. Submitted The World of Undersea Cables as a story · 3 points

    HN discussion
  30. Submitted Experiment with Everything as a story · 3 points

    HN discussion

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