Top all-time · #19343
Mark Xu
Personal blog · markxu.commathsciencephilosophy
Mark Xu's personal blog at markxu.com covers math, science and philosophy. Since 2021, 4 different Hacker News readers have linked it 6 times, most often “Strong Evidence is Common”. It is still writing: the last post was on 2024-11-09, and you can follow it by feed.
Too few sampled comments (4) to say how often HN recommends it.?
Why HN links it
HN readers link Mark Xu's posts on Bayesian reasoning about evidence, including how a name example implies strong evidence is common, and a post on three Bayes learnings. Most comments cite them as support or contrast.
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 4 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
Mark Xu's personal website
Most-linked posts?
- Strong Evidence is Common3 people · 5 mentions · first linked 2021-04-18
What Hacker News says?
The OP is evidence. My phone had it turned on which I think is evidence. Together this feels like reasonably strong evidence but maybe something even stronger is easy to find. Vaguely related: https://markxu.com/strong-evidence
Comment linking /strong-evidence
on “Apple Photos phones home on iOS 18 and macOS 15”Submitted Strong Evidence is Common as a story · 2 points
HN discussionReminds me of https://markxu.com/strong-evidence «One time, someone asked me what my name was. I said, “Mark Xu.” Afterward, they probably believed my name was “Mark Xu.” I’m guessing they would have happily accepted a bet at 20:1 odds that my driver’s license would say “Mark Xu” on it. The prior odds that someone’s name is “Mark Xu” are generously 1:1,000,000. Posterior odds of 20:1 implies that the odds ratio of m…
Comment linking /strong-evidence
on “What has a 1 in a million chance? (2010)”Submitted Strong Evidence Is Common as a story · 1 points
HN discussionContrast with: https://markxu.com/strong-evidence which claims that much of the evidence you interact with is strong.
Comment linking /strong-evidence
on “Don't overreact to weak signals”Full article is better https://markxu.com/three-bayes-learnings
Comment linking /three-bayes-learnings
on “Strong Evidence Is Common”
