Top all-time · #3491
Open Mind
Personal blog · tamino.wordpress.comsciencedata
Open Mind is a personal blog at tamino.wordpress.com about science and data. Since 2009, 22 different Hacker News readers have linked it 50 times, most often “USA Temperature: can I sucker you?”. It is still writing: the last post was on 2026-10-19, and you can follow it by feed.
Too few sampled comments (15) to say how often HN recommends it.?
Why HN links it
HN readers link Open Mind (Tamino) as a source of climate data analysis. Posts cover temperature and sea-level trends, rebuttals of contrarian claims, and a climate data links page.
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 15 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
KIDS' LIVES MATTER so let's stop climate change
Most-linked posts?
- USA Temperature: can I sucker you?4 people · 8 mentions · first linked 2018-08-11
- Analysis of 1981 Paper “Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide”2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2016-08-17
What Hacker News says?
> ...until the heat death of everything. If further climate outcomes continue to track Hansen's thus-far correct 35-year-old predictions [1], then we've already passed some kind of tipping point and "the heat death of everything" could potentially mean Venusian-style anthropogenic cooking of Earth in some worst-case scenarios, and mass population dislocations and mega-scale environmental disruptions in milder scenar…
Comment linking /2016/08/16/crystal-serenity/
on “Planet Found in Habitable Zone Around Nearest Star”Submitted Using grape harvest dates to estimate summer temperature over 650 years as a story · 258 points
HN discussionWhat you call "the graphs in the link I gave" is not the most recent graph from the (denialist) source that you'd like to use, it's from 2013, and since then we have had the warmest year ever recorded (2016). Here's the discussion of the more recent graph from your sources, which your sources used in their 2016 testimony (and that graph still doesn't include the results of 2016 and it's still "cooked"). Note that th…
Comment linking /2017/01/18/global-temperature-the-big-3/
on “What's Really Warming the World?”Submitted USA Temperature: can I sucker you? as a story · 256 points
HN discussionSee http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2009/11/the-cr... for the other side of the story. The oft-made claim about the non-availability of the climate model data can be proven false by visiting: http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php - contains all the models used in the IPCC AR4 http://tamino.wordpress.com/climate-data-links/ - contains a huge amount of climate data. Of course, all this data is ex…
Comment linking /climate-data-links/
on “Climate center's server hacked, revealing documents and emails”Submitted Chaotic systems and randomness as a story · 31 points
HN discussionThey also cherry-pick data to fit their conclusions, e.g. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/08/08/usa-temperature-can-...
Comment linking /2018/08/08/usa-temperature-can-i-sucker-you/
on “June was hottest month ever recorded on Earth”Submitted USA Temperature: can I sucker you? as a story · 20 points
HN discussion> there is no way this warm period is caused by global warming because you can't equate local weather to general climate No. There's no way that some warm or cold period can only be caused by global warming (or that it can disprove it). Since thevformer are extremes at the specific point in time, the later is the trend (averages, compared year-to-year). But some period can be so extreme that it's a big news if it br…
Comment linking /2017/01/18/global-temperature-the-big-3/
on “It’s about 50°F warmer than normal near the North Pole again”Submitted Embarrassing Questions On Global Warming as a story · 17 points
HN discussionThere are no graphs in the article to give you the whole context, that is, the longer-term measured climate changes. For that it helps looking at the yearly averages: https://tamino.wordpress.com/2017/01/18/global-temperature-t... These are averages over the whole year. The graph to consider specifically for Arctic is this one: https://tamino.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/arctic.jpg
Comment linking /2017/01/18/global-temperature-the-big-3/
on “It’s about 50°F warmer than normal near the North Pole again”Submitted [Global Warming] Skeptics: Real or Fake? as a story · 3 points
HN discussionHere's a compilation of links to get you started: https://tamino.wordpress.com/climate-data-links/ Climate science is a big subject and you should start by understanding the basics of the subject. Spencer Weart's history of climate science is a good place to start: https://history.aip.org/climate/index.htm Also, I see many people with strong statistics/engineering backgrounds analyzing climate data and coming to wro…
Comment linking /climate-data-links/
on “Ask HN: What are some good sources of climate data to analyze?”Submitted Analysis of GHCN weather station data shows no artificial warming effect as a story · 3 points
HN discussionI'm not a climatologist but I don't think it puts us in unknown territory. You have to consider what the known influences on the system (e.g. volcanic eruptions, solar variation) have been doing and what the known internal cycles (e.g. el nino) have been doing When you do that then you find Feb was well above the long term trend line, but not by a staggering amount (i.e. it's similar to things we have seen before):…
Comment linking /2016/03/13/surprise-but-not-shock/
on “February breaks global temperature records by 'shocking' amount”Submitted USA Temperature: can I sucker you? (2018) as a story · 2 points
HN discussionNo, I’m not. The NOAA site does not posit that the underlying trend is linear over the period - it simply displays a linear fit on the graphs. See here for more details https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/04/16/recent-sea-level-cha...
Comment linking /2018/04/16/recent-sea-level-change/
on “Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises”Submitted USA Temperature: can I sucker you? (2018) as a story · 2 points
HN discussionYou can’t just eyeball these graphs and assume the trend is linear: https://tamino.wordpress.com/2019/10/09/sea-level-accelerati... See also https://tamino.wordpress.com/2019/10/14/sea-level-accelerati...
Comment linking /2019/10/14/sea-level-acceleration-denial/
on “Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises”Submitted USA Temperature: can I sucker you? (2018) as a story · 2 points
HN discussion15 years just isn't long enough: http://tamino.wordpress.com/2013/09/21/double-standard/ Since 1975, global average surface air temperature has increased at a rate of 0.17 deg.C/decade (estimated by linear regression using either the NASA GISS or HadCRUT4 data sets). But the rate of increase hasn’t been perfectly constant over that entire time span. As a matter of fact, there’s a 15-year time span during which the r…
Comment linking /2013/09/21/double-standard/
on “World won't cool without geoengineering, warns report”Submitted Global Warming 2016: Arctic Spin as a story · 2 points
HN discussion> is the antarctic icecap not rapidly getting larger? To the best of our knowledge the East Antarctic Ice Sheet is gaining mass[1] due to increased precipitation and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is losing mass[2] due to acceleration of glaciers. I believe there is also an increase in Antarctic sea ice extent [3]. As far as I know these increases are not enough to offset the reduction in mass in the Arctic but I don'…
Comment linking /2013/03/16/antarctic-sea-ice-gain/
on “World won't cool without geoengineering, warns report”Submitted Analysis of 1981 Paper “Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide” as a story · 2 points
HN discussion>The fact is that the current warming is well below projected temperatures. That is pretty misleading. We don't claim to be able to model temperature over periods of time that short. You can easily pick other 15 year spans where the rate of warming was well above 'projected temperatures'. For example 1992 - 2006 was 0.28 deg.C/decade[1]. Were you going around in 2006 talking about how badly climate scientists had sc…
Comment linking /2013/09/21/double-standard/
on “World won't cool without geoengineering, warns report”Submitted Flippant Accusations as a story · 2 points
HN discussionAre you really comfortable citing them? Here's a discussion of the author of that post's prior work: https://tamino.wordpress.com/2014/02/13/making-up-stuff/ edit: fascinating how easy it is to be downvoted simply by pointing out the lack of credibility of AGW skeptics. On one hand, you have the overwhelming majority (97-74%) of professional scientist saying (respectively) that global warming is occuring or that it'…
Comment linking /2014/02/13/making-up-stuff/
on “Five Pacific islands disappear as sea levels rise”Submitted July was the global average hottest month so far as a story · 2 points
HN discussionI'm afraid you have been led astray by people who were deliberately trying to misinform you. You should probably be angry about that. >The problem is that the models have all been wrong. All models are wrong, but some are useful. Climate models have demonstrated skill at modelling important parts of the climate system. >They can't explain the past behavior of the Earth's climate, and they can't predict the future be…
Comment linking /2013/09/21/double-standard/
on “Melting Yukon ices reveal 5,000-year-old archaeological treasures”Submitted USA Temperature: can I sucker you? (2018) as a story · 1 points
HN discussion
