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Probability and statistics blog
Personal blog · statisticsblog.commathdatascience
Probability and statistics blog is a personal blog at statisticsblog.com about math, data and science. Since 2010, 10 different Hacker News readers have linked it 15 times, most often “Monty Hall’s probability problem, revisited”. The last post was in 2022, but the archive is still widely read.
Too few sampled comments (1) to say how often HN recommends it.?
Why HN links it
Linked in a discussion of The Data Science Manifesto as a preferred alternative manifesto. The comment points to its 'APIs over Databases' theme and links Martin Fowler's microservices article.
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 1 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
Most-linked posts?
- Monty Hall’s probability problem, revisited2 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2021-09-18
- A classification scheme for types of randomness2 people · 2 mentions · first linked 2017-07-20
What Hacker News says?
I wrapped a probability distribution around this very phenomenon a few years back: https://statisticsblog.com/2013/05/30/uncovering-the-unrelia... The expected duration converges to exactly double your wait time so far. I've found the "unreliable friend" distribution to be very useful in my modeling!
Comment linking /2013/05/30/uncovering-the-unreliable-friend-distribution-a-case-study-in-the-limits-of-mc-methods/
on “The longer it has taken, the longer it will take (2015)”Submitted 100 Prisoners, 100 lines of code as a story · 29 points
HN discussionNice explanation of uses and how entropy is converted into a constant. Reminds me of an old post I did on types of randomness http://www.statisticsblog.com/2012/02/a-classification-schem...
Comment linking /2012/02/a-classification-scheme-for-types-of-randomness/
on “NIST Random Beacon”Submitted Five dumb arguments smart people make as a story · 3 points
HN discussionThis is correct and very frustrating! For a deep dive into this issue check out: https://statisticsblog.com/2011/11/23/monte-hall-revisited/
Comment linking /2011/11/23/monte-hall-revisited/
on “Math Goblins”Submitted Monty Hall’s probability problem, revisited as a story · 2 points
HN discussionThey have an interesting links page: http://datasciencemanifesto.org/links/ This one seems like a better manifesto actually: https://statisticsblog.com/manifesto/ APIs over Databases links to Martin Fowler's microservices https://martinfowler.com/articles/microservices.html
Comment linking /manifesto/
on “The Data Science Manifesto”Submitted 100 Prisoners, 100 lines of code (2010) as a story · 2 points
HN discussionConfusion about the Monte Hall problem isn't an issue with people not understanding probability, it's that the problem is usually presented in a way that's under-explained and with hidden assumptions: https://statisticsblog.com/2011/11/23/monte-hall-revisited/
Comment linking /2011/11/23/monte-hall-revisited/
on “Probability Can Bite”Submitted Show HN: Test out a dozen probability distributions and JS library as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted The first thing you learned about probability is wrong as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted Iowa: Was the fix in? (a statistical analysis of the results) as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted The Perfect Fake as a story · 2 points
HN discussionSubmitted A classification scheme for types of randomness as a story · 1 points
HN discussionSubmitted The week in stats (April 28th edition) as a story · 1 points
HN discussion
