Top all-time · #25771
The Blog by Javier
Personal blog · theblogbyjavier.combusinessother
The Blog by Javier is a personal blog at theblogbyjavier.com about business. Since 2015, 3 different Hacker News readers have linked it 5 times. It is still writing: the last post was on 2026-11-01, and you can follow it by feed.
Too few sampled comments (4) to say how often HN recommends it.?
Why HN links it
HN commenters cite this blog's aviation safety analysis, including its chart of accidents per million flights and fatalities per passenger-mile, as evidence that airline travel has become much safer over decades.
Summarised by Claude from a sample of 4 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.
What did I learn today?
What Hacker News says?
With all the attention given to the 737 MAX lately, it's easy to forget that airline travel is dramatically safer today than it was just 30 years ago when this incident took place. Fatalities per revenue passenger-mile have decreased by a factor of 15x from 1989 to 2018 (and 54x from 1970 to 2018) [1]. [1] https://theblogbyjavier.com/2019/01/02/aviation-safety-evolu...
Comment linking /2019/01/02/aviation-safety-evolution-2018-update/
on “The Crash of United Flight 232 (2017)”They didn't give an overall picture as to how this happens. Airliner programmes run at a loss initially, because there were the development costs, the costs for equipment and methods to build the plane, and that it takes way longer to build the plane since that one hasn't been built before. However as more and more are built, the whole process gets more and more efficient making each one cheaper (aka the learning cu…
Comment linking /tag/learning-curve/
on “Will 787 program ever show an overall profit? Analysts grow more skeptical”They neglected to mention the biggest reason for the big jets. There are greater numbers of dense urban areas, and runway building is not matching the increase in demand for travel. The runways limit the number of aircraft movements, so demand is handled by increasing the size of the planes. (It can take decades for new runways to be built. See London.) The big jets aren't expected to be useful on every route, but r…
Comment linking /2015/02/26/boeing-list-prices-increases-vs-discounts-increases-update-for-2014/
on “The jumbo jet faces a make or break year at Boeing, Airbus”> Have you looked at the numbers? Have you? https://theblogbyjavier.com/2020/01/02/aviation-safety-evolu... See the chart labeled "Evolution of accidents per million flights". Millions more flights, and a steady march towards zero deaths. We haven't had a commercial airliner crash in the US for over a decade . The FAA's numbers look great .
Comment linking /2020/01/02/aviation-safety-evolution-2019-update/
on “Nationwide FAA weather reporting outage”
