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arg min

Personal blog · argmin.netaimathprogramming

arg min is a personal blog at argmin.net about ai, math and programming. Since 2016, 85 different Hacker News readers have linked it 118 times, most often “Lessons from Optics, the Other Deep Learning”. It is still writing: the last post was on 2026-10-30, and you can follow it by feed.

Visit the blog
118mentions?
9recommend?
85HN people?
2016–2026first – last linked?
Links on Hacker News per year · peak 35 in 2018

Sometimes recommended · 9 of 33 sampled comments recommend it?

Why HN links it

Ben Recht's blog on optimization, reinforcement learning, statistics and the critique of ML hype. Commenters cite and recommend specific posts on RL, effect sizes, and mask studies.

Recommended for · 9 comments
Commenters recommend posts on reinforcement learning and optimal control, the co-employment post, and the Jacobian/lore-laundering post as worth reading.

Summarised by Claude from a sample of 33 HN comments that link here. Each comment is marked recommending, critical or neutral (citing without judging); how this works.

arg min: a blog of minimum value. on the history, foundations, and validity of "optimally" automated decision making. Click to read arg min, by Ben Recht, a Substack publication.

Most-linked posts?

  1. Lessons from Optics, the Other Deep Learning
    8 people · 9 mentions · first linked 2018-01-25
  2. The Policy of Truth: Efficiency of Policy Gradients
    5 people · 5 mentions · first linked 2018-02-20
  3. Clues for Which I Search and Choose
    4 people · 4 mentions · first linked 2018-03-20
  4. Effect size is significantly more important than statistical significance
    4 people · 4 mentions · first linked 2021-09-14
  5. An Outsider's Tour of Reinforcement Learning
    3 people · 4 mentions · first linked 2018-07-22
  6. The Saga of Highleyman's Data
    3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2021-10-22
  7. Reflections on Random Kitchen Sinks (NIPS “Test of Time” Award Speech)
    3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2017-12-12
  8. Are Developers Out of a Job?
    3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2025-07-12
  9. A look at the math that OpenAI claims computes faster Fourier transforms
    3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2026-10-12
  10. You Cannot Serve Two Masters: The Harms of Dual Affiliation
    3 people · 3 mentions · first linked 2018-08-10

What Hacker News says?

  1. ali rahimi alludes to the problem of google engineers simply needing to tweak models that were previously tuned by google researchers who do have well-developed intuition [0]. because the intuitions in explicit form are at best heuristic and not necessarily even consistent, signing up to improve a model without them might result in spending indefinite time and compute resources without guarantee of positive results.…

    Comment linking /2018/01/25/optics/

    on “Machine Learning Crash Course”
  2. Submitted Lessons from Optics, the Other Deep Learning as a story · 531 points

    HN discussion
  3. jamessb · 2021-01-10Recommends
    Ben Recht [0] has worked on control theory and reinforcement learning. See his blog post "What we've Learned to control" [1] and the survey paper "A Tour of Reinforcement Learning: The View from Continuous Control" [2] may be of interest. [0]: https://people.eecs.berkeley.edu/~brecht/ [1]: https://www.argmin.net/2020/06/29/tour-revisited/ [2]: https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.09460

    Comment linking /2020/06/29/tour-revisited/

    on “Algorithms for Decision Making”
  4. Submitted Effect size is significantly more important than statistical significance as a story · 376 points

    HN discussion
  5. Yes, I am aware, I did not mean random search as in random actions, but random search with improved heuristics to find a policy. The point being that that the bells and whistles of PPO and other relatively complaticated algorithms (e.g. Q-PROP), namely the specific clipped objective, subsampling, and a (in my experience) very difficult to tune baseline using the same objective, do not significantly improve over grad…

    Comment linking /2018/02/20/reinforce/

    on “OpenAI Five”
  6. Submitted You Cannot Serve Two Masters: The Harms of Dual Affiliation as a story · 255 points

    HN discussion
  7. If anyone enjoyed this article, then i'd recommend reading this one as well[1], it's an interesting article with a focus on the relationship between radio and probabilistic reasoning in the early 1900s. https://www.argmin.net/p/the-spirit-of-radio

    Comment linking /p/the-spirit-of-radio

    on “Radios, how do they work?”
  8. Submitted A look at the math that OpenAI claims computes faster Fourier transforms as a story · 249 points

    HN discussion
  9. > It's a really fabulous study... Ehhhh... not so much. It had serious design flaws in both the protocol and the analysis. This blog post is a fairly approachable explanation of what's wrong with it: https://www.argmin.net/p/are-developers-finally-out-of-a-job

    Comment linking /p/are-developers-finally-out-of-a-job

    on “AI slows down open source developers. Peter Naur can teach us why”
  10. Submitted Prediction Games as a story · 69 points

    HN discussion
  11. In case you'd rather read text than watch a video, I believe this is the same? http://www.argmin.net/2017/12/05/kitchen-sinks/

    Comment linking /2017/12/05/kitchen-sinks/

    on “Greedy, Brittle, Opaque, and Shallow: The Downsides to Deep Learning”
  12. Submitted Is the Reproducibility Crisis Reproducible? as a story · 67 points

    HN discussion
  13. This article is a little too glib in my opinion, preferring citations and statements to substance and explanations. For a more cutting and insightful critique, watch Ali Rahimi's short talk at NIPS 2017 (where he was presenting for a paper that won the "Test of time" award, for standing out in value a decade after publication). The standing ovation he received at the end indicate that his comments resonated with a s…

    Comment linking /2018/01/25/optics/

    on “Greedy, Brittle, Opaque, and Shallow: The Downsides to Deep Learning”
  14. Submitted The Fall of Big Data as a story · 35 points

    HN discussion
  15. wskinner · 2022-01-12Recommends
    The Bangladesh study failed to produce a significant result when simpler nonparametric statistics were used to analyze the data. There were also significant discrepancies in the follow up rate between the control and treatment groups. And even if you ignore those issues, the absolute effect size (20 cases) was tiny. The effect size was expressed in terms of the relative rate of symptomatic seropositives, i.e., norma…

    Comment linking /2021/12/01/unblinding/

    on “Switching to an N95 mask gives a 75x boost in Covid protection”
  16. Submitted Should you go for 2 down 8? as a story · 33 points

    HN discussion
  17. Here is Ben Recht’s response: https://www.argmin.net/p/toward-a-transformative-hermeneutic...

    Comment linking /p/toward-a-transformative-hermeneutics

    on “Yes, we did discover the Higgs”
  18. Submitted Revisiting the Bangladesh Mask RCT as a story · 9 points

    HN discussion
  19. The article here is responding to an original blog post [1] that is not really saying the Higgs was not discovered (despite its trolling title), but raising questions about the meaning of "discovery" in systems that are so complicated as those in modern particle physics. I think the author is using the original motivation of musing on null hypotheses to derive the title "The Higgs Discovery Did Not Take Place", and…

    Comment linking /p/the-higgs-discovery-did-not-take

    on “Yes, we did discover the Higgs”
  20. Submitted Faster Fourier Transforms as a story · 6 points

    HN discussion
  21. j2kun · 2025-11-06Recommends
    Read https://www.argmin.net/p/lore-laundering-machines Given time, we may find out that the solutions in this paper were also in the literature, as was the case in the anecdotes from the linked article :)

    Comment linking /p/lore-laundering-machines

    on “Mathematical exploration and discovery at scale”
  22. Submitted Overfitting to Theories of Overfitting as a story · 6 points

    HN discussion
  23. this is a followup post i wrote to answer exactly your question: http://www.argmin.net/2018/01/25/optics/

    Comment linking /2018/01/25/optics/

    on “Machine learning has become alchemy (2017) [video]”
  24. Submitted Are Developers Out of a Job? as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  25. Additional context from Ali Rahimi and Ben Recht: http://www.argmin.net/2017/12/11/alchemy-addendum/

    Comment linking /2017/12/11/alchemy-addendum/

    on “Machine learning has become alchemy (2017) [video]”
  26. Submitted Machine learning is not nonparametric statistics as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  27. Make that zero. To their credit, the authors of the Bangladesh mask study released the raw data. "The difference between the two groups was small: only 20 cases out of over 340,000 individuals over a span of 8 weeks." Drawing any conclusions from such small amount of data is deeply unserious. http://www.argmin.net/2021/11/23/mask-rct-revisited

    Comment linking /2021/11/23/mask-rct-revisited

    on “New Concerning Variant: B.1.1.529”
  28. Submitted An Outsider's Tour of Reinforcement Learning as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion
  29. Alas even today there is no RCT on masks. Why? Countries and states with strict mask policies did not do better than those without these policies (see US States for an example). So do mask work? It is like a religious belief system, you would get the same reaction when questioning if God existed and asked parishioners and atheists. Everything is evidence for those that want to believe. Studies that claim to "prove"…

    Comment linking /2021/09/13/effect-size/

    on “Viruses that were on hiatus during Covid are back, behaving in unexpected ways”
  30. Submitted An Outsider's Tour of Reinforcement Learning as a story · 4 points

    HN discussion

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